Mohamed El-Hodiri

Department of Economics, Kansas University,

United States of America

melhodiri@ku.edu

Assessing hybrid monetary function reactions in transition economies

Fredj Jawadi

Department of Finance, University of Lille, 

France

fredj.jawadi@univ-lille.fr

Bulat Mukhamediyev

Department of Economics, 

Al-Farabi Kazakh National University,

Kazakhstan

bulat.mukhamediyev@kaznu.kz

Corresponding author

Abstract. This paper specifies and estimates hybrid monetary policy reaction functions in five countries of the Eastern Europe (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania) and four post-Soviet countries (Belarus, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine) during the transition period. The problem of choosing an effective monetary policy is essential and is of significant interest in developing economies. The assessed reactions made it possible to compare monetary policy goals in these countries and their changes due to the recent global financial and economic crisis. The calculations carried out by the generalized method of moments based on the quarterly data for 1998-2018 showed that in all the countries under consideration, price containment was the primary goal of monetary policy. Along with it, monetary authorities adhered to their alternative goals. Moreover, due to the financial and economic crisis, countries mainly began to less support economic growth and the accumulation of gold and foreign exchange reserves while increasing attention to stabilizing the exchange rate and the real effective exchange rate.

Received: December, 2019

1st Revision: August, 2020

Accepted: December, 2020

DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2020/13-4/8

JEL Classification: E52, C54

Keywords: hybrid monetary policy rule, transition countries, global financial crisis, Eastern Europe, the Commonwealth of Independent States