Scientific Papers

JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL STUDIES


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ISSN: 2306-3483 (Online), 2071-8330 (Print)

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The impact of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from advanced economies and the European Union

Vol. 18, No 3, 2025

 

Peter Toth

 

Faculty of Economics, 

Technical University in Košice,

Slovakia

peter.toth@tuke.sk

ORCID 0000-0002-5616-5520


The impact of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from advanced economies and the European Union

Andrea Tkacova

 

Faculty of Economics, 

Technical University in Košice,

Slovakia

andrea.tkacova@tuke.sk

ORCID 0000-0002-6025-1261


Beata Gavurova

 

Faculty of Mining, Ecology, Process Control and Geotechnologies,

Technical University of Košice,

Košice, Slovakia

beata.gavurova@tuke.sk

ORCID 0000-0002-0606-879X

 

 

 

Abstract. This paper investigates the relationship between public debt and economic growth in selected advanced economies and European Union member states over the period 2000–2022. Using a linear panel regression model, the study analyzes the impact of public debt on GDP growth, while accounting for additional macroeconomic factors such as inflation, unemployment, and gross fixed capital formation. The findings reveal a negative linear relationship between public debt and economic growth, with the effect being more pronounced in EU countries due to their economic integration. While public debt is shown to hinder long-term growth, the analysis acknowledges the possibility of short-term positive effects under specific conditions. These results underscore the importance of tailored fiscal policies and sustainable debt management strategies for fostering economic stability.

 

Received: October, 2024

1st Revision: June, 2025

Accepted: September, 2025

 

DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2025/18-3/9

 

JEL ClassificationE62, H63, O40

Keywordspublic debt, economic growth, GDP, advanced economies, panel regression, debt sustainability